Best Adapted Screenplay Oscars 2023 Predictions and Contenders

If you’re hoping for an Oscar nomination, maybe you should consider adapting a novel or feature into a screenplay. Usually one of the most competitive categories, the adapted screenplay seems almost open at this point in this particular awards season. This may be partly due to the fact that four potential candidates have not yet been screened publicly or for the press.

READ MORE: ‘Glass Onion’ review: Rian Johnson’s ‘Knives Out’ sequel is another meandering delight [TIFF]

Granted, two of those movies are big-budget sequels (“Avatar: The Waterway”, “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”), another is an English remake (“A Man Called Otto”) and the fourth may end up as a simple Netflix consumer game (“The Pale Blue Eye”). In theory, there are in fact already two locks: Sarah Pollythe script of “Speaking Women” (adapted from Miriam Toews‘ novel 2018) and “Glass Onion: A Mystery at Daggers Drawn”, Rian Johnsonthe sequel to his 2020 nominated original screenplay, “Knives out.” Plus, we’re hedging our bets that Rebecca Lenkiewiczthe scenario of “She says,” a narrative adaptation of Jodi Kantor and Megan Twoheynon-fiction book, also makes the cut.

Other suitors might not even be in the conversation in previous years. Scenarios for “Top Gun: Maverick”, “Living”, “Bones and All”, “The Wonder” and “The whale” all have a chance. In a perfect world, “Catherine called Birdy” would be very in the mix, but is probably a long shot. This is a major curiosity. [Posted Oct. 12]

*Unfiltered at publication

Likely

“Speaking Women”
“Glass Onion: A Mystery at Daggers Drawn”
“She says”*

Almost there

Top Gun: Maverick
“Living”
“Bones and All”
“The Wonder”
“The whale”

Longshots

“Catherine called Birdy”
“The son”
“My Policeman”
“In the west, nothing is new”
“White Noise”
“Avatar: the way of water”*
“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”*
“The Pale Blue Eye”*
“A Man Named Otto”*

Other categories

Best Picture
Best Director
Best Actress
Best actor
Best Supporting Actress
Best Supporting Actor