Oscars 2022: Best Adapted Script Predictions

Does Oscar favorite Jane Campion win her second writing trophy, or does it go to the snubbed writer-director of ‘Dune’? (Constantly updated.)

As usual, the nominees in the Adapted Screenplay category are a varied bunch, with films of all shapes and sizes adapted from earlier material, whether it’s novels, short stories, or an earlier film. As always, authors have the edge over Academy voters.

Literary adaptations

While David Lynch and Alejandro Jodorowsky may have been defeated by the big-screen adaptations of Frank Herbert’s 1965 sci-fi novel “Dune” (Warner Bros./HBO Max), the award-nominated French-Canadian author Oscar winner Denis Villeneuve (“Arrival”) has embraced the chance to bring his trademark visual panache to the sci-fi epic, which will unfold in two parts. The first part was taken from the sprawling novel by director, Oscar-winning veteran Eric Roth (“Forrest Gump”) and Jon Spaihts. Oscar Isaac’s Duke Leto Atreides and Rebecca Ferguson’s Lady Jessica travel with their son Paul (Timothée Chalamet) to the dangerous desert planet Arrakis, which provides the universe with the precious spice mix. After pandemic delays, the film played the fall festivals to strong reviews and performed well at the global box office, picking up 10 Oscar nominations, including Best Picture. Villeneuve’s dramatic omission from the directing nominees lends a sympathy factor to a win in this category, as a way of acknowledging the creative force that brought this superb epic to cinematic life.

For her directorial debut, actress-turned-writer Maggie Gyllenhaal has secured permission from Italian novelist Elena Ferrante to adapt “The Lost Daughter” (Netflix), about a vacationing teacher (nominated Olivia Colman) who returns to her painful experience as a young university mother (candidate Jessie Buckley). After breaking out in Telluride, “The Lost Daughter” hit theaters on December 17 and on Netflix on December 31. Last year’s “Promising Young Woman” set a precedent for an actress who rose to prominence as a writer-director and won the Oscar.

“The Power of the Dog”

Courtesy of Netflix

Also from Netflix, Jane Campion’s trusty adaptation of Thomas Savage’s 1967 noir western novel ‘The Power of the Dog’ stars Benedict Cumberbatch as surly rancher Phil Burbank, who ruthlessly undermines the new wife. (Kirsten Dunst) by her brother George (Jesse Plemons). After debuting at fall festival raves, the film hit theaters on November 19 ahead of streaming on December 1 and garnered a massive 12 nominations, including Best Picture. While “The Power of the Dog” is the favorite for Picture and Director, will Campion also receive her second writing Oscar after “The Piano”?

“Drive My Car” (Janus), adapted by writer-director Ryûsuke Hamaguchi and writer Takamasa Oe from Haruki Murakami’s short story, is gaining momentum with four nominations, including Best Picture and Best Director. In this case, voters may think that “Drive My Car” will win the award for best international feature film.

“CODA” (Apple TV+), which director Sian Heder adapted from the French film “La Famille Belier” by Victoria Bedos and Stanislas Carré de Malberg, debuted at Sundance, telling the story of a deaf family with a hearing girl who loves music. a fishing village in New England.

The nominees are ranked in order of probability of winning.

Eric Roth, Jon Spaihts and Denis Villeneuve (“Dune”)
Jane Campion (“The Power of the Dog”)
Maggie Gyllenhaal (“The Lost Girl”)
Sian Heder (“CODA”)
Ryûsuke Hamaguchi and Takamasa Oe (“Drive My Car”)

Register: Stay up to date with the latest film and TV news! Sign up for our email newsletters here.