Oscars 2023: Best Adapted Screenplay Predictions

At the 2022 Oscars, Sian Heder won the award for Best Adapted Screenplay for “CODA”, his adaptation of the French film “La Famille Bélier”. “CODA” also won Best Picture, becoming the fifth remake to win the Best Oscar. In 2021 playwright Florian Zeller shared the Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar with Christopher Hampton to bring his hit “The Father” to the screen. In his directorial debut, Zeller bagged Anthony Hopkins his second Academy Award for Best Actor. He returns to racing this year with an adaptation of his play “Le Fils”. (Scroll down for the most recent Oscars 2023 Best Adapted Screenplay predictions.)

Film versions of stage works had won Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars 15 times before. The most recent of these dates back to 2017 when the director of “Moonlight” Barry Jenkins and playwright Tarell Alvin McCraney prevailed for the adaptation of the latter’s unproduced play “In Moonlight Black Boys Look Blue”. Before that, we have to go back to 1989 when Alfred Uhry won for adapting her hit play “Driving Miss Daisy”.

At the Oscars 2020, the director of “Jojo Rabbit” Taika Waititi won for bringing Christine Leunens novel “Caging Skies” on the big screen. This award, which dates back to the first Oscars in 1928, rewarded the adapters of 47 novels over the year. The most recent of these before 2020 was in 2018 when James Ivory won his first Oscar for his adaptation of André AcimanThe novel “Call me by your name”.

Between these two years, the director of “BlacKkKlansman” Spike Lee shared in the Best Adapted Screenplay win for his work written on Ron StallworthMemoirs of the same name. In the 93-year history of this category, only a dozen adaptations of these books have prevailed. Five of these non-fiction book adaptations have won awards over the past decade: “The Social Network” (2011), “Argo” (2012), “12 Years a Slave” (2013) and “The Imitation Game” ( 2014) and “Le grand court” (2015).

The short stories provided source material for seven winners, “Brokeback Mountain” in 2005 being the most recent. Point sources have included a newspaper column (“Ms. Miniver”) and a short film (“Sling Blade”).

UPDATED: August 3, 2022

Please note: To read full descriptions of each film, check out our predictions for the 2023 Best Picture Oscar.

Leading Candidates (in alphabetical order)
“The Greatest Beer Race Ever”
Writers: Brian Hayes Currie, Peter Farrelly and Pete Jones, who adapted the non-fiction book of the same name by Joanna Molloy and John “Chickie” Donohue.

“Killers of the Flower Moon” (may jump to 2023)
Screenwriter: Eric Roth, who adapted the documentary book of the same name by David Grann.

“Poor Things”
Screenwriter: Tony McNamara, who adapted the novel “Poor Things” by Alasdair Gray.

“She says”
Director: Maria Schrader
Screenwriter: Rebecca Lenkiewicz, who adapted the non-fiction book of the same name by Jodi Kantor and Megan Twohey.

“The son “
Screenwriter: Florian Zeller, who adapted his play of the same name.

“The whale”
Screenwriter: Samuel D. Hunter, who adapted his play of the same name.

“Speaking Women”
Screenwriter: Sarah Polley, who adapted the novel of the same name by Miriam Toews.

Strong competitors (in alphabetical order)

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”
Writers: Ryan Coogler and Joe Robert Cole, based on the Marvel comic book series created by Stan Lee and Jack Kirby.

“Bones and All”
Screenwriter: David Kajganich, who adapted the novel of the same name by Camille DeAngelis.

“Glass Onion: A Mystery at Daggers Drawn”
Screenwriter: Rian Johnson, based on characters created by Johnson for “Knives Out”.

Screenwriters: Audrey Diwan, Marcia Romano and Anne Berest, who adapted the novel of the same name by Annie Ernaux.

Screenwriter: Kazuo Ishiguro, based on characters created by Akira Kurosawa, Shinobu Hashimoto and Hideo Oguni for “Ikuru”.

“White Noise”
Screenwriter: Noah Baumbach, who adapted Don DeLillo’s novel of the same name.

Possible competitors (in alphabetical order)

Screenwriters: James Cameron and Josh Friedman, based on characters created by Cameron for “Avatar”.

Screenwriter: Andrew Dominik, who adapted Joyce Carol Oates’ novel of the same name.

“Catherine, called Birdy”
Screenwriter: Lena Dunham, who adapted Karen Cushman’s novel of the same name.

“A Man Called Otto”
Screenwriter: David Magee, who adapted the novel of the same name by Fredrik Backman.

“The Pale Blue Eye”
Screenwriter: Scott Cooper, who adapted the novel of the same name by Louis Bayard.

Top Gun: Maverick
Writers: Ehren Kruger, Eric Warren Singer and Christopher McQuarrie with a story by Peter Craig and Justin Marks, based on characters created by Jim Cash and Jack Epps Jr. for “Top Gun”.

“The Wonder”
Writers: Emma Donoghue, Alice Birch and Sebastian Lelio, who adapted Donoghue’s novel of the same name.

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