Who will be named? | Cinemablend

With Oscar nominations right around the corner, CinemaBlend takes a look at which films and performances are likely to be up for nominations. Let’s look at an adapted scenario race.

Locked in

The undisputed favorite is easily Jane Campion’s The power of the dog, which many are predicting will win Best Picture. It’s very possible that the legendary filmmaker will win both screenplay and directing awards on Oscar night.

CODA gained another life this awards season after blowing up at Sundance, but quietly fell to Apple TV+ in August. Clearly, Apple’s strong campaign paid off, as CODA is a very strong contender for Best Picture, almost guaranteeing an Adapted Screenplay nomination as part of this package. It’s hard to imagine West Side Story also not part of the lineup, given the praise Tony Kushner received for his updates to the classic source material and the film’s status as a contender overall.

Probable bets

Dunes may at first glance appear to be a Mad Max Fury Road, The ghostWhere Gravity situation where he lacks a script but dominates in the technical categories. However, DunesThe faithful treatment of its classic source material resulted in a large number of mentions for the screenplay from critics groups and awards bodies. It also doesn’t hurt that five-time Adapted Screenplay nominee Eric Roth is one of the writing credits.

by Maggie Gyllenhaal The lost girl and that of Ryusuke Hamaguchi drive my car found a lot of traction with review groups. The question is whether these films can translate well for industry voters, as they are on the harder side. Gyllenhaal may have the edge with name recognition and Netflix backing the film. If either of these two make the cut at the BAFTAs, that will make a pretty compelling case to predict them.

dark horses

If the Academy wants to opt for something safer, Tick, tick… Boom! is right there. Although the film looks likely to receive a Best Picture nomination, it struggles to rack up nominations in that category. In my opinion, it is a mix between this one and the two mentioned above.

Although Joel Coen Macbeth’s Tragedy features a lot of visual invention, the dialogue is straight out of Shakespeare, so voters may think it’s not worth the nomination. The three all-star screenwriting credits (Matt Damon, Ben Affleck and Nicole Holofcener) attached to The last duel make a compelling case, but the film garners no traction with award voters, likely due to abysmal box office numbers. At Rebecca Hall’s Who passedGuillermo Del Toro and Kim Morgan’s adaptation of alley of nightmares, or even House Of Gucci, which plays in other categories, are other possible surprises.

Check back here on CinemaBlend for more category breakdowns.